12

BYE

ADE GCS NTH PTA

STK 67
HAW 119
CAR 88
GEE 84
SYD 170
RIC 56
BRL 78
FRE 103
WBD 97
COL 93
MEL 70
GWS 119
WCE 85
ESS 55

2011 in Review - Newton's First Law

10 / 02 / 2012

Newton's first law states that a player whose Dream Team average remains unchanged from year to year shall be featured in this article. Or something like that.

Knowing whether a player's average hasn't changed much from the previous year is important when deciding a Dream Team. Preferably, if the player you're choosing isn't a top tier player like Lance Franklin, Dane Swan or Gary Ablett, but has had little to no increase in average over the previous year, you would want to skip out on him for someone with value.

This article helps in outlining those established elite who year in year out continue to achieve their high averages. It also lists those players who are nearing the end of their careers but continue to churn out consistent Dream Team scores. But most importantly, it highlights those middle to high tier players who haven't shown much of an increase and would be of little value to your team.

All players who have played at least eight games in both 2010 and 2011, averaged above eighty in one of the those years and have only deviated from their 2010 average by 5% are included.

Bernie Vince($400,100)
Position MID
Average 2011 80.9
Games Played 17
Average 2010 85.9
Games Played 16
Difference -5.0
Percentage -6%
Clinton Jones($384,700)
Position MID
Average 2011 77.8
Games Played 22
Average 2010 82.2
Games Played 24
Difference -4.0
Percentage -5%
Chris Newman($383,500)
Position DEF
Average 2011 77.5
Games Played 17
Average 2010 82.0
Games Played 21
Difference -5.0
Percentage -5%
Kade Simpson($471,900)

Many were high on Kade Simpson following 2010, acheiving an average of 100 per game, though in 2011, he has taken a small step backwards. He hasn't been a whole lot worse and was still consistent throughout the year, but he just wasn't scoring as highly. It may be due to the other Blues midfielders stepping up to the plate and perhaps taking focus off from him

There's not much doubt as to his capability, but one should look at other players who are cheaper and have the potential to match his 2011 average

Position MID
Average 2011 95.4
Games Played 22
Average 2010 99.9
Games Played 23
Difference -5.0
Percentage -5%
Gary Ablett($554,700)

Many expected Ablett to decrease quite a bit in 2011, due to him being surrounded by a dozen of debutants, but the fact that Ablett hardly took a hit to his yearly average shows just how much a great player he really is.

Ablett in 2012 will be a safe pick. With his young teammates getting more experience under their belts, his bound to get more support and assistance throughout the midfield and should increase average more throughout the year than the last

If you have Pendlebury in your team, you might consider selecting Ablett instead. It will save you $25,000 with minimal to no impact on your score.

Position MID
Average 2011 112.2
Games Played 20
Average 2010 116.9
Games Played 24
Difference -5.0
Percentage -4%
Dane Swan($598,300)

Swan will be in the teams of many in 2012, but there will be some who will leave him behind for a cheaper pick. Gary Ablett or Scott Pendlebury will continue to be comparable to Swan in 2012, though they're priced reasonably cheaper.

The safe option will be to pick Swan, but the smarter option may be to go for Ablett, save $45,000 and use that to upgrade a borderline top tier player to a certified top tier player.

Position MID
Average 2011 121.0
Games Played 21
Average 2010 124.3
Games Played 26
Difference -3.0
Percentage -3%
Jared Brennan($417,300)

Brennan has been averaging mid 85s since 2008. There's no real reason to expect him to stop now

Position MID
Average 2011 84.4
Games Played 22
Average 2010 86.8
Games Played 18
Difference -2.0
Percentage -3%
Sam Fisher($415,500)

One player that you should not expect much of a Dream Team improvement from in 2012 is Sam Fisher. Fisher's role isn't the same it was a few years ago, where he averaged 94 in 2008. He is now playing a more key defensive role as opposed to an attacking defensive role and while it's winning him the Saints Best and Fairest, it won't be helping him with his fantasy score average

Position DEF
Average 2011 84.0
Games Played 22
Average 2010 86.2
Games Played 24
Difference -2.0
Percentage -3%
Adam Schneider($393,000)
Position FWD
Average 2011 79.5
Games Played 20
Average 2010 82.2
Games Played 25
Difference -3.0
Percentage -3%
Daniel Giansiracusa($436,800)
Position FWD
Average 2011 88.3
Games Played 20
Average 2010 90.0
Games Played 25
Difference -2.0
Percentage -2%
Sharrod Wellingham($391,300)
Position MID
Average 2011 79.1
Games Played 17
Average 2010 80.0
Games Played 24
Difference -1.0
Percentage -1%
Michael Rischitelli($473,200)

Like Gary Ablett, Rischitelli had an impressive year considering the level of experience he was surrounded by. If he begins to get more support from his teammates around him, he has a great chance of averaging over 100 throughout the upcoming season.

Position MID
Average 2011 95.7
Games Played 21
Average 2010 96.3
Games Played 22
Difference -1.0
Percentage -1%
David Hille($409,700)
Position RUC
Average 2011 82.8
Games Played 18
Average 2010 83.4
Games Played 16
Difference -1.0
Percentage -1%
Domenic Cassisi($439,100)
Position MID
Average 2011 88.8
Games Played 13
Average 2010 89.5
Games Played 22
Difference -1.0
Percentage -1%
Simon Black($449,400)

Even though he's approaching the end of his career Simon Black is still consistently averaging scores of 90 since 2008. It's unrealistic to expect him to all of a sudden average above 95, as other midfielders in the Lions side begin adopting key roles

Position MID
Average 2011 90.9
Games Played 22
Average 2010 91.8
Games Played 18
Difference -1.0
Percentage -1%
Aaron Sandilands($469,900)
Position RUC
Average 2011 95.0
Games Played 13
Average 2010 94.8
Games Played 21
Difference 0.0
Percentage 0%
Chris Judd($506,800)

Despite this man's freakish football ability, Chris Judd has never been that high of a Dream Team scorer. What he does he does so well, so it's unlikely that you'll all of a sudden begin to see him take more marks and give off less handballs

Judd is a safe pick though he's average will likely continue to average on the 100 mark. One may want to consider Nick Dal Santo for just $6,000 more.

Position MID
Average 2011 102.5
Games Played 22
Average 2010 102.8
Games Played 20
Difference 0.0
Percentage 0%
Shaun Grigg($413,100)
Position MID
Average 2011 83.5
Games Played 21
Average 2010 83.5
Games Played 8
Difference 0.0
Percentage 0%
Nick Dal Santo($512,400)

Despite an inconsistent start to 2011, Nick Dal Santo fired on cylinders in the second half and managed to average over 111 in the second half of the season, higher than the likes of Marc Murphy and just behind Scott Selwood. He finally managed to handle a tag, which led him to playing some of the best football seen throughout the year. It was certainly his best year to date in an outfit which dropped off quite a bit following 2010.

If Dal Santo can manage to carry that form into 2012, he'll be a quality pick at his price range and should really be considered.

Position MID
Average 2011 103.6
Games Played 22
Average 2010 102.4
Games Played 25
Difference 1.0
Percentage 1%
Andrew Swallow($491,500)
Position MID
Average 2011 99.4
Games Played 22
Average 2010 98.5
Games Played 22
Difference 1.0
Percentage 1%
Joel Corey($456,900)
Position MID
Average 2011 92.4
Games Played 19
Average 2010 91.1
Games Played 14
Difference 1.0
Percentage 1%
Matthew Pavlich($466,200)

Pavlich has been persistently hovering around the 93 average mark since his average of 100 in 2008. While he's a reliable player he does disappoint on occassions with his inconsistency.

It's hard to know what role he'll play this year with a new coach in charge, so it might be better to skip on Pavlich in 2012 despite his attractive price.

Position FWD, MID
Average 2011 94.3
Games Played 20
Average 2010 93.3
Games Played 23
Difference 1.0
Percentage 1%
Jordan Lewis($441,800)
Position FWD, MID
Average 2011 89.3
Games Played 19
Average 2010 87.7
Games Played 23
Difference 2.0
Percentage 2%
Andrew Embley($465,000)
Position MID
Average 2011 94.0
Games Played 21
Average 2010 92.2
Games Played 20
Difference 2.0
Percentage 2%
Brett Deledio($452,100)
Position DEF, MID
Average 2011 91.4
Games Played 22
Average 2010 89.4
Games Played 22
Difference 2.0
Percentage 2%
Nathan Bock($396,900)
Position DEF
Average 2011 80.2
Games Played 21
Average 2010 78.5
Games Played 13
Difference 2.0
Percentage 2%
Corey Enright($454,600)
Position DEF
Average 2011 91.9
Games Played 20
Average 2010 89.7
Games Played 24
Difference 2.0
Percentage 2%
Lance Franklin($503,000)

2011 saw Lance Franklin achieve his highest yearly average to date. Many would expect him to continue his dominating form. He's already averaging eighteen disposals and nearly four goals per game, so you wouldn't expect much improvement over last year's average. Well, if he stopped averaging 2.5 frees against per match, it could boost his average by quite a bit, but we all know that's not going to happen...

Being an established forward, albeit a tad inconsistent, Buddy should be seriously considered for all teams. Hawthorn love to use Buddy at almost any oppurtunity and with Roughead still recovering from an achille tendon tear, he'll be the sole target for at least a month into the season.

Position FWD
Average 2011 101.7
Games Played 19
Average 2010 98.5
Games Played 18
Difference 3.0
Percentage 3%
James Kelly($478,900)
Position MID
Average 2011 96.8
Games Played 21
Average 2010 94.4
Games Played 23
Difference 2.0
Percentage 3%
Ben Johnson($401,400)
Position MID
Average 2011 81.2
Games Played 13
Average 2010 78.7
Games Played 23
Difference 3.0
Percentage 3%
Matthew Boyd($573,800)
Position MID
Average 2011 116.0
Games Played 22
Average 2010 112.1
Games Played 23
Difference 4.0
Percentage 3%
Leigh Adams($416,400)
Position FWD, MID
Average 2011 84.2
Games Played 21
Average 2010 81.5
Games Played 15
Difference 3.0
Percentage 3%
Cyril Rioli($429,700)

Cyril is a player waiting to explode. He can play some amazing football at times, but is held back by his inconsistencies and injuries. His coach has mentioned that he may spend more midfield time and all reports indicate Cyril has had his best preseason yet. Expect his yearly average to increase a fair bit.

Priced reasonably as $430,000, Cyril is one to keep an eye out for in 2012.

Position FWD
Average 2011 86.7
Games Played 16
Average 2010 83.6
Games Played 20
Difference 3.0
Percentage 4%
Adam Goodes($491,000)
Position FWD, MID
Average 2011 99.3
Games Played 22
Average 2010 95.6
Games Played 24
Difference 4.0
Percentage 4%
Dale Thomas($509,200)
Position MID
Average 2011 102.9
Games Played 19
Average 2010 98.5
Games Played 26
Difference 4.0
Percentage 4%
Joel Selwood($540,600)
Position MID
Average 2011 109.3
Games Played 17
Average 2010 105.6
Games Played 24
Difference 4.0
Percentage 4%
Jobe Watson($492,500)
Position MID
Average 2011 99.6
Games Played 16
Average 2010 94.9
Games Played 21
Difference 5.0
Percentage 5%
Luke Ball($476,500)

Luke Ball has gone under the radar due to the calibre of talent he's surrounded by. He's had his best Dream Team average to date and looks to have gotten rid of all the persisting niggling injuries he had from a couple of years back.

Ball's capable of big scores, so he can certainly add value to any team he's in. He's a bit on the pricey side, but considering that he's often overlooked, he may prove be a good pick if one is looking for unique players.

Position MID
Average 2011 96.3
Games Played 21
Average 2010 91.6
Games Played 24
Difference 5.0
Percentage 5%
Ben Howlett($409,700)
Position MID
Average 2011 82.8
Games Played 22
Average 2010 78.9
Games Played 15
Difference 4.0
Percentage 5%
Jarrad McVeigh($435,300)
Position MID
Average 2011 88.0
Games Played 20
Average 2010 83.0
Games Played 24
Difference 5.0
Percentage 6%
Shaun Higgins($417,100)

Higgins is kind of an unknown. Many people know that he has potential to be a great footballer and a great fanatasy player, but he's fallen short of expectations in both 2010 and 2011. Injuries have been an issue and so has consistency.

This year we might see his return to the form he showed in 2009, but it's a risk. Cyril Rioli who's similiarly priced and has had a similiar history regarding form and injures, may be the option between the two.

Position FWD, MID
Average 2011 84.3
Games Played 18
Average 2010 79.2
Games Played 17
Difference 5.0
Percentage 6%
Matt Rosa($426,800)
Position MID
Average 2011 86.3
Games Played 18
Average 2010 81.7
Games Played 20
Difference 5.0
Percentage 6%
David Mundy($474,400)
Position MID
Average 2011 95.9
Games Played 12
Average 2010 90.6
Games Played 22
Difference 5.0
Percentage 6%

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